Why? As the man who spent eight years as vice president is 30+ in the Senate and was the frontrunner in the 2020 race from the day he stepped in, he continues to fight to convince voters and donors that he is theirs man.  Yes, national polls – including CNN's – continue to favor Biden. But often national polls are a lagging indicator of the movement of candidates. Usually, as elections approach, voting in early voting countries is more important as the campaign and the candidates (and voters) are actively involved in those seats.
Then the main thing is money. Biden never liked to raise money, and as a result was never terribly good at it. But even with those lower standards, the fact that it ended last month with less than $ 9 million at the bank is truly incredible. Especially when you consider that Butigigig, the mayor of his hometown (!), Finished the neighborhood with almost three times what Biden had in the bank. (Buttigieg closed September with $ 23 million.) And that both Sanders ($ 34 million) and Warren ($ 26 million) have campaign boxes that are dwarfed by Biden's.
Although money is not fully determining, does it reflect organic energy and support. And without him, Biden will struggle to compete not only in the early states, but as the calendar expands to places like California in early March. That's why, of course, Biden's allies have created a super PAC designed to make up for the cash deficit between him and the other major contenders. While they know that Biden will take the brunt of campaign finance reformers, they also know he needs a financial infusion. And bad.
Can Biden still be the nominee? Sure! He remains the preferred candidate for minority votes that have been and will be a decisive presence in past nomination duels. But today, Biden is in a much weaker position than he was a few months ago. And this is the moment to be supreme, not to lose your progress.
Below are the 1
0 candidates with the best chance of winning the Kim in 2020
10. Beto O & # 39; Rourke: O & # 39; Rourke's campaign is in deep and deep trouble. Just a year ago, the Texas Democrat was a prodigy who almost removed Republican Senator Ted Cruz from Texas. He entered the presidential race with the wind in his back. Today, Roorkee is on the verge of not even having a debate in November. He has only two of the required four qualified polls and has two weeks to find the rest. [Previous Ranking: 9]
9. Tom Steyer : If a billionaire businessman's bid is doing well, it keeps local and national television stations from winning. Steyer has spent over $ 35 million on television advertising so far – 86% of all money spent not only on all Democratic candidates, but also on Republican ones. Why, then, is Steyer not only on our list, but moving up one slot? Because he already qualified for the November debate, which is higher than any of the people ranked lower than him. [Previous Ranking: 10]
8. Andrew Yan: The good news about Jan is that he is in the debate in November. The bad news is that even Jan's self-righteous follow-up won't be enough to get him into the December debate. To get there, Jan will have to start posting poll numbers that he just doesn't have this year. Jan's chances have always been slim, but being on the scene of a debate, he gives voice to his ideas on issues like automation. (Previous Ranking: 8)
7. Amy Klobuchar: The Senator in Minnesota had a good week for one reason only: she ran for the November debate, the ninth candidate to make the abbreviation. This in itself does not guarantee Klobuchar anything, but it does give it another crack to impress voters who still do not pay much attention to it. And judging by her increasingly debatable performance, Klobuchar has to deal with that task. [Previous Ranking: 7]
6. Cory Booker: Booker says "look here!" in response to Democrats dissatisfied with their highest order. Booker's liberal message, while not too liberal, seems to be at the heart of the party and remains well liked by primary voters. Unfortunately for Booker, there are two different things that you like and win. Booker is not close to the December debate ranking. [Previous Ranking: 6]
5. Kamala Harris : The news that Harris's campaign is being reorganized to focus exclusively on Iowa is a sour sign for the times for the California senator. Harris is steadily declining as her star turned into a first debate and her money now seems to be running out – or at least very low. It's unclear how much longer she can endure in the race, but she already qualified for the Democratic debate in November. [Previous Ranking: 5]
4. Bernie Sanders: The jump from five to four on our list is yuge. We can argue that Sanders is in the best position to win the nomination in the second half of 2019. He is at or near the top of the pitch in New Hampshire. Although Warren seems amused, Biden has his problems. Sanders, however, does not lead in Iowa and is well-off nationwide. Plus, he has all this because he is an independent, not a Democrat. (Previous rank: 3)
3. Pete Butigig: Mayor Pete is exactly where he wants to be. It is surprisingly well funded and shows traction in Iowa and some, albeit less, in New Hampshire. He is also effectively positioned as a beneficiary if (or when) Biden becomes more frightened. And Butigigig has been spending the last few months positioning himself as a sensible solution – trying to draw a contrast with the likes of Warren and Sanders. [Previous Ranking: 4]
2. Joe Biden: It's pretty clear that the former Vice President is leading the nation. Biden also continues to take precedence in approvals. However, Biden seems very vulnerable in New Hampshire, where he is ranked third in our recent poll. Not in Iowa either. Few presidential candidates in the modern era have won either Iowa or New Hampshire in the primary. Biden can rightly claim that none of the other candidates has black support, but will that support remain unbeaten in Iowa or New Hampshire? [Previous Ranking: 2]
1. Elizabeth Warren : Warren has the clearest early state path to the nomination. One thing to keep in mind though: is it capable of winning the votes of minorities? Among all non-white voters in CNN's national poll, she tracked Biden and Sanders among this key group. (Previous ranking: 1)