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7 things that Tesla couldn't do



October 19, 2019 by Zachary Shahan


A year ago, this week, I published a story about 8 "impossible" goals that Tesla achieved. The idea actually stems from a simple joke I sent to Elon Musk. I thought it was so funny (a joke to some extent, sending it more to Elon Musk) that it inspired a full article. In fact, she and several other pieces inspired the entire Tesla flashbacks series. The fact is that every day there are different "worries" about the future of Tesla from Tesla short sellers and other people who benefit if Tesla fails, but when you look back at those after a year or more, it becomes clear that they usually are nonsense that does not guarantee a minute of anyone.

However, there is no doubt that Tesla has achieved some very unexpected successes. One of my favorite songs of all time is "The Impossible Dream", as sung by Robert Flack. While the dream mentioned in this song is different, it makes me think about Tesla. The company, which survived long enough to build a car, was an early "impossible dream", but the dreams did not end. By the time the first Roadster rolled off the line, Tesla already had much bigger plans. They were so ambitious that they laughed. Certainly Tesla could not reach them.

1. Make a Model S before the end of 2012. A certain automotive journalist (who is now Tesla's super whip) bet Elon Musk in 2009 that Tesla doesn't can rotate Model S production out of line before the end of 2012. Whoops, 19659004] I will not find this journalist since it was widely accepted at the time that Tesla could not reach it. The journalist was more the norm, not the exception, and Elon seemed impossible. However, as we all should know by now, Elon won the bet, Model S began to make it into the hands of customers in mid-2012 (Elon donated $ 1 million to charity anyway, which he promised to do if he lost the bet.) Undoubtedly, however, the task could not have been easy, as no automaker has so far produced an electric car that has fully competed with Model S since 2012.

[19659005] 2. Sell more than a few thousand Model S sedans in the US. Apart from being skeptical that Tesla could even produce a single Model S, there was conventional wisdom in the automotive industry that there was no way in the Dante circle that more than a few thousand people would buy a Tesla Model S. annually. Skepticism, the widely respected IHS think tank said:

"It is possible to sell several thousand of everything in this country for novelty value only. IHS Automotive predicts that if Tesla can market the car, it will probably sell at least a few thousand.

"But the idea that Tesla could sell tens of thousands of Model S sedans in the US is foolish. The most popular vehicles in this segment sell only a few tens of thousands, with some models – the Audi A6, Jaguar XF, Lexus GS – well under 10,000 sales a year. “

Whoops. As it turned out, Tesla had no problem selling tens of thousands of Model S sedans a year, crushing its competitors in the big luxury car market. For example, in 2018, the Tesla Model S represents approximately 37% of major luxury car sales.

3. 48% CAGR from 2013 to 2020 Tesla had bold dreams in 2011, 2012, 2013. Well, bold was one way to define them – completely unrealistic was another. With Tesla's stock price [TSLA] at $ 121, Bank of America's Tesla analysis team had a $ 39 share price target. The idea that Tesla could achieve its growth goals was simply absurd. The company summarized, "we estimate that the $ 120 share price implies over 321K vehicle sales in 2020, which is a whole 300K higher than our current 2013e and would represent a 7-year CAGR of 48%." Bank of America does not consider this at least as realistic, therefore the $ 39 share price.

Tesla's constant critic of Business Insider added some fuel to the hot criticism: "A growth rate of 48% has never been reached by another automaker ever. "(Not done = can't be done. This is what the non-dreamers taught you.)

Whips. Tesla not only collapsed this 7-year growth forecast, but also the TSLA price tag. Bank of America's $ 39 performance was disappointing, but don't worry, Bank of America has a new depressingly pessimistic outlook for Tesla. After all, one of those years, Tesla sales will have to collapse.

4. Give Tesla Model S an automatic replacement of the tapes with a turn signal light (in 2015). It may look like a simple, mundane function. for Tesla now – the car is able to smoothly change the circuit boards on its own – but back in 2014, this was considered impossible – well, maybe cars could do that in 2020, but certainly not before. a prominent journalist was so confident in conventional wisdom that in 2014 he wrote, "If this autopilot changes lanes automatically with the touch of a flashing pole, say one year from now … I'll publicly eat Tesla's baseball cap on Twitter, Facebook and YouTube. "Well, he and others knew all about the limits of Tesla and the fact that this would definitely not happen . Otherwise, he'll have to remove the hideous, dry baseball cap.

Whips. In October 2014, Tesla had a major public event at which journalists, early owners of Model S and other Tesla guests were introduced to the first version of Tesla Autopilot. The cars could really change lanes, with the owners just having to turn on the turn signal. Shockingly, the critic noted above does not eat a hat, Tesla brand or otherwise.

I'm sure he didn't have much faith in Tesla, which is deploying Smart Summon, but at least this time he didn't make any bets where hat-eating was on the table.

5. Mass production of Tesla Model X. One of Elon Musk and Tesla's most famous "impossible dreams" was the dream of mass production of Tesla Model X , falconry doors and everything everyone knows is just a technical impossibility, Again, there is no need to point out a critic, as this was a widely accepted fact in early 2016 and before, but probably true, that Bob Lutz had the most outspoken and direct comment from an expert on the subject. "It seems that the X model cannot be fitted with those automatic doors that everyone in the industry always said would not work," he noted. In fact, everyone in the industry knew him. They knew it was either an unrealistic dream, a complete denouement or something in between.

WOPS. Perhaps if the critics knew the difference between a gull door and a hawk door, they would have gotten that right. Alas, their claims that Tesla could never ever produce the Model X massively proved to be unreasonable and inaccurate. Tesla makes tens of thousands of these SUVs a year.

6. Get a lot of Tesla Model 3 production. Model S and Model X, however, were not the only vehicles that Tesla couldn't produce. The somewhat accessible Model 3 was also on the list. Tesla has produced tens of thousands of S and X models, but there is no way the company will produce hundreds of thousands of Model 3s a year. Everyone knew that. That goal was just insane. Along with this madness was the misguided notion that Tesla could sell the Model 3 for under $ 40,000. Haha, what a joke of promise.

Whips. It turns out that Tesla could massively produce the Tesla Model 3, and could offer under $ 40,000 Model 3 to middle-income buyers looking for such a car. [19659005]

7. Tesla Gigafactory 3. Pfff – You're kidding. Tesla's statements about building a gigafactor in China so quickly had to be fraud, lies, smoke and mirrors and unicorn flatulence. There was no chance for Tesla to hit his targets. The timetable and predictions given were so demonstrably incorrect that they must have been criminal. Plus, Tesla will crash and burn, probably filing for bankruptcy before a car made in China can be released to customers.

Whoops. Gigafactory 3 not only built at a shockingly fast rate, but also showed that Tesla's critics were again deluding history and again had no problem doubling and increasing their skepticism over real facts. [Rememberhowmany @lopezlinette were so cursed that Tesla would fail to meet or even exceed the expectations @elonmusk set for Gigafactory 3? ¯_ (ツ) _ / ¯ https://t.co/wy8D72TbJy pic.twitter.com/AIGedZofW0

– Viv 🕸 (@flcnhvy) July 16, 2019

Nasty . Maybe next time.

Do you still have some impossible goals that Tesla could not achieve? More ideas for things our Tesla can't do?

If you want to buy Tesla Model 3 and want 1000 miles of free recharges, feel free to use my reference code: https: //ts.la/zachary63404 – or use someone else if you have a friend or a Tesla family member. I will not cry.

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Tags: Tesla, Tesla Autopilot, Tesla Flashbacks, Tesla Gigafactories, Tesla Gigafactory 3, Tesla Model 3, Tesla Model S, Tesla Model X, Tesla Short Sellers [19659031] About The Author

Zachary Shahan Zach is trying to help the community help one word at a time. He spends most of his time here at CleanTechnica as its director and editor-in-chief. He is also the Executive Director of Important Media . Zack is recognized globally as an expert in electric vehicle, solar and energy storage. He has represented Cleantech at conferences in India, the UAE, Ukraine, Poland, Germany, the Netherlands, the United States, Canada and Curacao.

Zack has long-term investments in Tesla [TSLA] – After years of covering solar and electricity, he just has a lot of faith in this company and feels he is a good clean tech company to invest in. But it does not offer investment advice and does not recommend investing in Tesla or another company.




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