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Home https://server7.kproxy.com/servlet/redirect.srv/sruj/smyrwpoii/p2/ US https://server7.kproxy.com/servlet/redirect.srv/sruj/smyrwpoii/p2/ CNN poll: Democrats tied in Nevada while Biden leads South Carolina

CNN poll: Democrats tied in Nevada while Biden leads South Carolina



Biden leads Warren with 21 points in South Carolina – 37% of likely voters support the former Vice President, 16% Warren and 11% Sanders. There is no clear leader in Nevada, with Biden and Sanders tied at 22% of probable rubbers with 18% for Warren, all within the bounds of a sample error poll. In no country does any other candidate reach double digits.

Biden's strong position in South Carolina depends on the support of black voters. Overall, 45% of Black's likely primary voters return Biden, more than 30 points ahead of his closest competitor. Among white likely primary voters, however, Biden and Warren are in a state of disarray: 29% prefer Biden, 28% Warren.

The tripartite race in Nevada relies on the demographic and political differences that lead to competition throughout the country. Liberal corn is likely to break down badly for Sanders, while moderate and conservative cornflakes give Biden a big advantage. People under 50 go to Sanders: 35% for him versus 1

3% for Warren and 12% for Biden. Among those over 50, 32% back Biden, 23% Warren and 11% Sanders. Voters with high schools are more in Warren's corner, while those without degrees split between Sanders and Biden and Warren is lagging behind.

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There is an opportunity in both countries to move. So far, 44% of likely Nevada carolers and 45% of likely South Carolina voters say they've picked a candidate and decided. Another 38% of each state say they have a preference but can change their mind, while 18% in Nevada and 17% in South Carolina still have no preference.

Biden stands alone in South Carolina when likely voters are asked to rate their level of enthusiasm. Nearly half, 48%, would be enthusiastic about the Biden nomination, ahead of 35% of Warren, the Sanders and California sisters, Kamala Harris, 23% and South Bend, Indiana, 19% of Mayor Pete Butigig. In Nevada, more than 4 in 10 say they would be enthusiastic about each of the top three – 47% for Sanders, 44% for Biden and 42% for Warren – while 22% would be enthusiastic about Harris or Butigig nominations,

In both states, however, the majority will at least be satisfied with either of these five candidates. The campaign says it will be dissatisfied or upset with any of those five peaks at 37% for Buttigieg in South Carolina and 28% for Harris or Buttigieg in Nevada.

On issues and elegance

About six in 10 likely Democratic voters or Democrats say it's more important to nominate a candidate with a better chance of defeating President Donald Trump than to nominate a person who shares his or her own views on the issues. In both countries, a group focused on defeating Trump is better placed to support Biden in front of Sanders. In Nevada, they are also more likely to prefer Warren than those focused on issues; their numbers are roughly the same in those South Carolina groups.

No matter how they evaluate the importance of a candidate's position on the issues, the Nevada Democrats of South Carolina seem to be different on who can best handle the most important issues facing the field. As for healthcare, likely South Carolina voters prefer Biden – 34% say he would do the best for him against 17% for Sanders and 16% for Warren – while those in Nevada favor Sanders – 32% say Vermonter would do the best job in healthcare, 25% Biden, 17% Warren.

In Nevada, there is a huge divide of probable health care rubbish along ideological lines, reflecting the debate that applicants have publicly had over the merits of Medicare for All. Fully 50% of liberal likely people say they trust Sanders the most in healthcare, with 20% naming Warren and 15% Biden, while Sanders gives Biden 11 points among moderate and conservative probables (31% Biden, 20 % Sanders and 14% Warren). The ideological gulf is narrower in South Carolina.

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there is an overall advantage over each of the five South Carolina tests tested (health care, climate crisis, gun policy, economy and immigration. But things get more difficult in Nevada beyond healthcare. No other candidate gains the credibility of even a candidate. 25 % of probable rubbers like Sanders , Biden and Warren cluster close to the top in all five. – is under water, 51% disapprove, while 41% approve.This is about the same as it was last October, before Democrats win a Senate seat there, one in two taken by Republicans in mid-2018. In South Carolina Trump's ratings surpass his national brands, which are currently hovering around 40% approve, 49% approve and 47% disapprove. In both countries, there is a 90-point difference between where Republicans and Democrats stand for Trump's approval, with independents tilting negatively.

The polls were conducted September 22-26, during which time the House Democrats announced a formal impeachment investigation against the president. Looking at interviews conducted before and after the announcement of the investigation, there does not appear to be a change in Trump's ratings.
  Reporting process explained

The Republican Party in both states canceled its Republican nomination contest for 2020 d. However, Republicans and Republican-leaning independents largely support their party's decision. In South Carolina, 62% approve the cancellation of the primary, while 52% approve the cancellation of his Nevada GOP staff. But even among those Republicans and Republicans who do not approve of the decision to repeal the primary or the MP, the president is still very popular (83% approve of his job in Nevada, 74% in South Carolina).

CNN polls in Nevada and South Carolina were conducted by telephone among random adult samples in each state. In Nevada, results among 1,203 adults have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 percentage points, 7.1 points for results among the 324 likely Democratic cornfields. In South Carolina, results among 1,200 adults carry a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points, while those among the 406 likely voters in the Democratic Party have a margin of error of 5.9 points.


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