Biden leads Warren with 21 points in South Carolina – 37% of likely voters support the former Vice President, 16% Warren and 11% Sanders. There is no clear leader in Nevada, with Biden and Sanders tied at 22% of probable rubbers with 18% for Warren, all within the bounds of a sample error poll. In no country does any other candidate reach double digits.
Biden's strong position in South Carolina depends on the support of black voters. Overall, 45% of Black's likely primary voters return Biden, more than 30 points ahead of his closest competitor. Among white likely primary voters, however, Biden and Warren are in a state of disarray: 29% prefer Biden, 28% Warren.
The tripartite race in Nevada relies on the demographic and political differences that lead to competition throughout the country. Liberal corn is likely to break down badly for Sanders, while moderate and conservative cornflakes give Biden a big advantage. People under 50 go to Sanders: 35% for him versus 1
There is an opportunity in both countries to move. So far, 44% of likely Nevada carolers and 45% of likely South Carolina voters say they've picked a candidate and decided. Another 38% of each state say they have a preference but can change their mind, while 18% in Nevada and 17% in South Carolina still have no preference.
Biden stands alone in South Carolina when likely voters are asked to rate their level of enthusiasm. Nearly half, 48%, would be enthusiastic about the Biden nomination, ahead of 35% of Warren, the Sanders and California sisters, Kamala Harris, 23% and South Bend, Indiana, 19% of Mayor Pete Butigig. In Nevada, more than 4 in 10 say they would be enthusiastic about each of the top three – 47% for Sanders, 44% for Biden and 42% for Warren – while 22% would be enthusiastic about Harris or Butigig nominations,
In both states, however, the majority will at least be satisfied with either of these five candidates. The campaign says it will be dissatisfied or upset with any of those five peaks at 37% for Buttigieg in South Carolina and 28% for Harris or Buttigieg in Nevada.
On issues and elegance
No matter how they evaluate the importance of a candidate's position on the issues, the Nevada Democrats of South Carolina seem to be different on who can best handle the most important issues facing the field. As for healthcare, likely South Carolina voters prefer Biden – 34% say he would do the best for him against 17% for Sanders and 16% for Warren – while those in Nevada favor Sanders – 32% say Vermonter would do the best job in healthcare, 25% Biden, 17% Warren.
In Nevada, there is a huge divide of probable health care rubbish along ideological lines, reflecting the debate that applicants have publicly had over the merits of Medicare for All. Fully 50% of liberal likely people say they trust Sanders the most in healthcare, with 20% naming Warren and 15% Biden, while Sanders gives Biden 11 points among moderate and conservative probables (31% Biden, 20 % Sanders and 14% Warren). The ideological gulf is narrower in South Carolina.