And if the country had begun blocking cities and restricting social contact on March 1, two weeks earlier than when most people began staying home, a huge portion of the nation’s deaths – about 83 percent – would have been avoided, scientists say. .
The huge costs of waiting to take action reflect the relentless dynamics of the epidemic, which sweep American cities in early March. Even small differences in weather would prevent the worst exponential growth, which sank by April in New York, New Orleans and other major cities, the researchers found.
The results are based on the infectious disease model, which assesses how reduced contact between people, beginning in mid-March, slows down the transmission of the virus.
The results show that when the state reopens – all 50 states had reduced restrictions by Wednesday – outbreaks could easily spiral out of control unless employees closely monitor infections and immediately press for new outbreaks.
And they show that every day that officials waited to impose restrictions in early March came at a high price.
The coronavirus pandemic created a grim Thursday ritual: the totality of unemployment claims in the United States.
In its report from 8:30 a.m. East, the Department of Labor is expected last week’s figure was 2.5 million, according to a consensus of analysts quoted by Bloomberg. This would mean that the new claims are equalized but not reduced and will lead to a nine-week volume of about 39 million.
And there is a growing fear that many jobs will not return, even for those they consider to be temporarily laid off.
Nicholas Bloom, an economist at Stanford University who co-authored An analysis of the impact of the pandemic on the labor market estimates that 42 percent of recent redundancies will lead to permanent job losses. “I don’t like to say it, but it will take longer and look gloomier than we thought,” he said of the road to recovery.
Collaboration by reporters at The New York Times, The Baltimore Sun, KPCC / LAist and The Southern Illinoisan illustrates the fee.
More than 60 percent of nursing homes in which at least a quarter of residents are black or Hispanic have reported at least one case of coronavirus, according to a New York Times analysis. That’s twice as many as homes where blacks and Latinos make up less than 5 percent of the population.
In the suburbs of Baltimore, for example, nursing home workers said they were given rain ponchos to protect themselves from infection. Twenty-five employees at the establishment, where most of the residents are African-American, tested positive for coronavirus.
In East Los Angeles, an employee of a predominantly Latin nursing home where a hearth occurred said she was given swimming goggles before she could get professional equipment. She said she later tested positive for the virus.
Scientist Moncef Slavey is a venture capitalist and former longtime CEO of GlaxoSmithKline. Most recently, he boarded Modern, a biotechnology firm in Cambridge, Massachusetts, valued at $ 30 billion, which is pursuit of a coronavirus vaccine. He resigned when President Trump last appointed him to the new post of chief adviser for Operation Warp Speed, the federal’s quest for coronavirus vaccines and treatment.
In just a few days, Dr. Slavey’s financial interest in drug companies began to emerge: The value of his shares in Moderna jumped nearly $ 2.4 million to $ 12.4 million when the company released preliminary, partial data from an early phase of his vaccine application study, which helped send markets into the jump on Monday.
Dr Slavey sold his shares on Tuesday, and the administration said it would donate the increased value to a cancer study.
But Moderna’s shares are just one piece of its pharmaceutical portfolio, many of which are not public. And some ethics and financial securities experts have expressed concerns about the agreement Dr. Slavey reached with the administration.
Agreeing to accept the position, Dr. Slavey did not join the board as a civil servant. Instead, he is on a contract, receiving $ 1 for his service. This frees him from federal disclosure rules, which would require him to list his external positions, stocks and other potential conflicts. And the contractual position is not subject to the same conflict of interest laws and regulations that the employees of the executive branch must follow.
The countries and cities in the country have started with varying degrees of success to increase their efforts on-site contact tracking on a large scale. Last week, New Jersey Gov. Philip D. Murphy said his state would hire up to several thousand liaison officers to help the 800 who now work for local and county health departments.
Twenty miles west of New York, Patterson, a poor, largely white city of about 150,000, tracks the virus in level, which may be the envy of larger cities. The team has successfully investigated and tracked about 90 percent of the more than 5,900 positive cases of Covid-19 in Patterson, said the city’s best health official, Dr. Paul Percy.
Perry N. Halkit, dean of the Rutgers School of Public Health, said it was impossible to know how much contact tracking had helped control the spread of the virus. But contact tracking, he noted, “is one of the few tools we actually have in the absence of a vaccine.”
Michigan, one of the states hit hardest by the pandemic, it faced a new emergency on Wednesday after days of torrential rains cut off two dams the night before. Thousands of residents were forced to flee their homes, and much of Midland, the home of Dow Chemical and some of its plants, was submerged.
“It’s hard to believe that we are in the middle of a 100-year crisis, a global pandemic, and we are also dealing with a flood that seems to be the worst in 500 years,” Ms. Whitmer said.
For years, federal regulators have warned that a dam in the nearby town of Edenville could collapse and have misled their corporate owner, Boyce Hydro Power, for failing to make the necessary structural changes. On Tuesday night, the dam receded, sending water gushing through the streets and threatening Dow Chemical, a plastics producer sitting along the Titabavasi River. Ten miles south of Edenville Dam, water spilled over a second dam, and on Wednesday a structure feared it would be on the verge of collapse.
By then, the water had crept high enough that red stop signs barely peeked into downtown Midland, a city of 42,000 people about 130 miles northwest of Detroit.
Authorities said there were no known injuries or deaths related to the floods.
As news of the disaster spread, Mr. Trump threatened on Twitter to keep federal funds in Michigan if the state continues to expand mail voting efforts. The president then followed saying the Federal Emergency Management Agency and the military were sent to Michigan to help respond to disasters.
Global updates: China imposes quarantine in its northeastern part.
The latest outbreak of coronavirus in China is concentrated in Jilin, a northeastern province of 27 million people that sits near the borders with Russia and North Korea. Jilin reported only 130 cases and two deaths, but experts there warned of a potential “big bang”.
Cycling tips as a family.
The modest bike is the surprising star of the lock. With delayed youth sports, car traffic is down 75 percent or more in the United States (according to research firm StreetLightData), and supported children who parkour on living room furniture have never sounded better as family bikes. Here are some tips for safe and successful travel.
The reports were contributed by Karen Barrow, Julie Bosman, Patricia Cohen, Andrew Das, James Glanz, Matthew Goldstein, Abby Goodnough, Kathleen Gray, Maggie Haberman, Sheila Kaplan, Sharon Otterman, Campbell Robertson, Anna Shaverien, Kali Soto, Chris Stanford Alexandra Stevenson.