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COVID-19 tension suggests warnings that the expected “third wave” is already here



Infections and hospitalizations with COVID-19 are on the rise again, with no signs of stopping, sparking fears that fall and winter wave experts have warned throughout the year that it is already here.

In the last week, according to the COVID-19 tracker of the New York Times, the United States has confirmed an average of 54,000 new cases a day, which is a 25 percent increase over two weeks ago. The tension cannot be explained by an increase in tests alone.

Nineteen states, including North Dakota, Wisconsin, Nebraska, Kansas and Indiana, see a record number of cases in their areas, according to the tracker.

Countries that seem to have gained control of the pandemic in recent months, such as Florida, New York, New Jersey, Arizona and others, are also seeing an increase.

“It simply came to our notice then. I think that̵

7;s the beginning of this reality, “Scott Gottlieb, Trump’s former commissioner for food and medicine, told CNBC on Friday.

Gottlieb added that Europe, which sees 100,000 new cases of COVID-19 every day – higher than at any time during the pandemic – is likely about two or three weeks ahead of the United States.

“I think a difficult autumn and winter awaits us,” Gottlieb said.

Hospitalizations are also on the rise, with Wisconsin building a field hospital at the state park fair.

Deaths remain at about 700 a day in the United States, but that number usually lags behind hospitalizations, lagging behind the increase in cases, meaning the United States may see more deaths reported in the coming weeks.

The silver plating, Gottlieb said, is that mortality is likely to be “significantly lower” than during spring and summer outbreaks due to improved therapies and techniques that have saved lives.

Experts usually say that there have been two “jumps” in COVID-19 in the United States

The first jump hit the northeast in the spring and the second hit the south in the summer, reaching a maximum of about 73,000 cases a day in July – the highest levels ever recorded in the US pandemic. After that, the new cases are constantly decreasing, before starting to climb in September. Now the United States is ready to exceed the previous daily maximum in new cases, experts say.

“In fact, we’re almost back to the top we saw nationally over the summer,” said Michael Mina, an assistant professor of epidemiology at Harvard TH Chain School of Public Health.

“We are almost back to the same level and I do not believe we are close to this declining decline. … We see [cases] going up in Europe and in many of these places, the cases are really really decreasing at first to pretty low numbers and now in many places they are increasing again. We see it in the United States, we see it elsewhere, so we’re almost there and I think we have a long winter ahead of us. “

Experts have been warning for months of an increase in cases during the colder months, which are likely to compete with the coronavirus beating the United States has already endured this year.

Respiratory viruses such as influenza and the common cold tend to spread more easily in colder, drier climates, leading experts to believe it will be the same for COVID-19.

“You can’t enter the cooler months of autumn and the colder months of winter with a high level of infection in the community,” Anthony FauciAnthony FaukeyKay coronavirus model predicts nearly 80 percent increase in deaths by February The Hill’s Morning Report – Sponsored by Facebook – Trump, fighting, Biden sincere during a remote TV duel Health experts say the “herd immunity” strategy will kill more, the best national expert on infectious diseases, said at a webinar on Friday at Johns Hopkins University.

“We will start doing a lot of things indoors, not outdoors, and that’s when you have to be especially careful about the spread of respiratory disease,” he added.

Twenty-seven countries, mostly in the southern, central western and mountainous countries, have an “uncontrolled spread” of COVID-19, according to COVID Exit Strategy, a non-governmental public health group that monitors pandemic indicators, including case numbers and positive sample rates.

Another 18 states are “underdeveloped,” including the states of East and West Coasts, as well as Texas and Louisiana. Only two states – Maine and Vermont – are “developing better”, with declining cases and fewer tests returning positive.

The percentage of positive tests is a key indicator of the spread of COVID-19, experts say.

The World Health Organization (WHO) says a positive test rate of 5 percent or less is a sign that there is a well-controlled virus in the area.

But 33 countries are above that recommendation, according to Johns Hopkins University.

The United States is approaching 8 million confirmed cases of COVID-19 and 220,000 deaths, according to Johns Hopkins University.

The ensemble of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention predicts an additional 9,000 to 20,000 deaths by November 7.




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