This may lead to government closure: Parliament must continue its annual August holiday on July 26 and Munchkin warned that the government could run out of its money to pay its bills by the beginning of September if the debt ceiling is not raised. If a long-term budget deal can not be concluded ̵
There is no doubt that the closure of the government is such a case that it a) attracts national attention even from people who pay attention only to politics. The general mood in the country that Washington is hopelessly broken and c) can lead to unpredictable political reactions. The three results are something that politicians hate – especially the uncertainty about who is blamed for stopping and how (or whether) it changes the wider political dynamics in 2020
So there will be clear efforts – on all sides – to do something before Parliament leaves Washington at the end of next week.
But the context matters here. It is hard to imagine that Democrats from Congress and the White House are far beyond what they are now – as Trump continues to embark on his racist tweets directed at the Democratic Representations Alexandria Occasio-Cortez (New York) Ilhan Omar (Minnesota), Ayanna Pressley (Massachusetts) and Rashida Tlaib (Michigan). This move – and its subsequent doubling, tripling, and doubling – further sparked an already explosive relationship between the two branches of the government.
Pelosi also brings with him the knowledge that the last stop of the government was accused, the majority of Americans, of Trump. And that the President's approval number for work remains low at 40 in the national survey. And that her base would punish her not for refusing to play ball – or, in the mind of the base, to surrender – to the demands of this White House.
Let's be clear: Betting odds are still in favor of Pelosi and Manchu achieves a deal that avoids another government closure. But the chances of switching off have increased from 1 in 100 to 1 in much less than on Monday night.