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Herd immunity: The United States may never reach it, but it may not be necessary

Some experts are wondering if the United States will ever reach herd immunity, but everyone is trying to figure out how to normalize life anyway.

Below is taken from various reports by the CNN health team.

And the country has averaged more than 49,400 new cases of Covid-19 daily in the past week, according to John Hopkins. On January 8, the country averaged more than 251,000 cases each day – the highest seven-day pandemic average.

What would be herd immunity? CNN’s Jen Christensen writes: “As with any disease, how many people need to be immunized to provide protection in the community depends on how contagious it is. For Covid-19, experts estimate that the magic number can be between 70 and 90% of the population immunized against The world is not close to that level. “

Step one: vaccinations. According to experts, vaccinations are key to counting cases in the United States, and changes in the way vaccinations are distributed and who will meet the conditions are forthcoming.

For the elderly. Most adult Americans have been vaccinated ̵

1; 83% of Americans over 65 have had a single dose and 70% have been fully vaccinated.

For adults. The White House announced on Tuesday a new, more ambitious goal to get 70 percent of adults in the United States to get at least one vaccination by July 4, and 160 million people – half the country – to be fully vaccinated by then.

Current status. 56% of the adult population has one shot, and 40% – about 105 million people – are fully vaccinated. But the rate of vaccination is slowing.

The federal government will redirect more vaccines to local pharmacies, pop-up clinics, mobile clinics and impose immediate entry meetings.

I went to an indoor mall for the first time in a year and found an empty window taken from a vaccination site. They grabbed people near the food container.

The Biden administration will also direct new vaccine distributions to rural health clinics, spending on outreach for rural Americans. It will change its distribution process in another way, redirecting more supply to countries in greater demand.

For teenagers. The FDA is likely to issue an emergency approval for the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine for use in children aged 12-15 next week. This started a process to change the emergency use permit for these children.

For children. Pfizer said it plans to ask the FDA for emergency use to use its vaccine in children ages 2-11 in September.

An ongoing study on pregnant women could be completed in July or August, according to a CNN report.

Young people affected by new options. In Oregon, Democratic Gov. Kate Brown said younger people were showing up at state hospitals. She issued new restrictions on Covid and told young people that they were responsible for getting vaccinated.

Free beer. New Jersey Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy even announced that the state also plans to offer free beer to anyone over the age of 21 who shows off their completed vaccination card at thirteen participating breweries across the state. The campaign is called “Shot and Beer.” Take it?

Free money. West Virginia Republican Governor Jim Justice wants to offer people between the ages of 16 and 35 a $ 100 bail guarantee and said government officials will direct young people to social media.

“If we have to go door to door, we will go door to door,” Justice said in a statement.

The herd immunity approach will not work in the long run. We do not know how long immunity from exposure or vaccination will last. Periodic boosters or an annual flu vaccine may be needed. Here’s a video of what we don’t know about Covid’s reinfection by CNN medical analyst Dr. Leana Wen.

Note: The booster will not require full authorization, FDA Commissioner Janet Woodcock said Monday.

There will be a re-voltage. Here’s Wen about the dangers of too few people getting vaccinated now that the incidence has decreased, especially since the virus has mutated and changed in places where it is widespread.

“What I’m really worried about is that those people who are already on the fence are not vaccinated (and we don’t reach herd immunity, it’s coming in the fall,” she said over the weekend).

“And then with the winter … we have a big renaissance, maybe we have options coming from other countries, and we could start the whole process over and a new huge pandemic in the winter.”

Herd immunity is difficult to implement. Lauren Ansel Myers runs the Covid-19 Modeling Consortium at the University of Texas, and she told CNN the reasons why the United States and the world may never get there.

  • Vaccinating so many people would be almost impossible;
  • this particular virus is spreading too fast;
  • more contagious variants threaten to make vaccines less effective;
  • there are entire countries and pockets in the United States that have few fully vaccinated people;
  • there are problems with access to vaccines and justice;
  • children have not yet been vaccinated;
  • and about a quarter of the population is hesitant or unwilling to be vaccinated.
The United States may never reach herd immunity. But! Most people will still be able to return to their pre-pandemic lives if the number of cases continues to decline, Dr Ashish Ja, dean of Brown Medical School, told CNN on Monday.

“We may not get to zero, we probably won’t,” Ja said. “But if we can get infections at very low levels, most of us can get back to life in a normal way. I think we can probably live with that.”

Israel has achieved extremely low morbidity rates with 50% vaccination. The more vaccinations, the closer experts say we will be normal, even if it is not technically controlled.

Just be free. Florida Republican Gov. Ron Desantis on Monday signed an order to make it impossible for local governments in the state – where about 27.5% of the population is vaccinated – to apply their own restrictions, arguing the reduction in the number of cases and deaths are no longer necessary. The move drew criticism from Miami and Orange County officials.

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