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Here’s who gets COVID first in outbreaks, studies



As cases of COVID-19 continue to grow across the country, understanding how the virus works, who is most likely to get it, and how often it spreads is crucial to leveling the curve. Researchers recently spent time studying large outbreaks across the country and were able to identify the group of people most likely to get the virus first: young adults.

According to a study published by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in their Weekly report on morbidity and mortality (MMWR) last week, an increase in infections among younger Americans could usually predict an outbreak. Read and to ensure your health and the health of others, do not miss them Sure signs that you already have a coronavirus.

Increasing cases of young people with predictable jumps

“Understanding whether the increasing frequency in hotspots occurs primarily in certain age groups is important to identify opportunities to prevent or reduce transmission,”

; the study explains.

So, for the study, the CDC analyzed trends in the degree of positivity – a precursor to infections, hospitalizations and mortality – by age groups in 767 hotspots before and after their identification as such. What they found is that early increases in positivity in people under the age of 24 often predict an increase in cases in those over the age of 25.

Overall, “The increase in the percentage of positivity among the older age groups started after the increase in the younger age groups: Among the adults aged 25-44 years, 45-64 years and ≥65 years, the increase started 28 days, 23 days and 20 days, respectively before hot spot identification. “

“In hotspots, especially in the south and west, the positivity rate increased at the earliest in younger people, followed by a few weeks of increasing positivity rate among older age groups,” they continued. “Increasing the percentage of positive test results in older age groups is likely to lead to more hospitalizations, serious illnesses and deaths.”

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Peer pressure is partly to blame

Another MMWR The report seeks to understand why younger people are more likely to spread the virus by interviewing people in Winnebago County, Wisconsin during an outbreak. The researchers claim that “the perception of low severity of the outcome of the disease; taking responsibility for others; peer pressure; and exposure to misinformation, conflicting messages, or conflicting views regarding masks have been identified as drivers of behavior that may affect the risk of exposure to COVID-19 among young people. “

That is why more attention needs to be paid to reducing the rate of infection among younger people – and education can be key.

“Tackling transmission among young people is an urgent public health priority,” the CDC wrote in the first report. As for yourself: To get through this pandemic in the healthiest way, don’t miss them 35 places you are most likely to catch COVID.


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