If you have not yet received at least one vaccine and you have waited the relevant two weeks after that to resume more normal activities, you should not resume these activities as if we are completely out of the woods and have nothing to fear – I don’t care how much you are young or invincible.
We are in the midst of changes in the Gulf and for California, and possibly one of the most dangerous moments of the pandemic for people who feel carefree and cavalier about the state of affairs and their relative risk. It̵
Half of the San Francisco people can enjoy a little more freedom in the coming weeks – as of Tuesday, 50% of the city has received at least one dose of the vaccine or the single-dose Johnson & Johnson vaccine. Hopefully this includes everyone who has to work outside their homes. This is great news, but it is not yet tantamount to herd immunity – and there are still unknowns about how well the vaccines against P.1 variant “Brazilian” or the new widespread “Indian” variant that has just been identified in the bay area.
But with Governor Gavin Newsum’s big announcement Tuesday about California’s “full” business opening by June 15, many of you may feel psychologically that the worst days are behind us.
Everything can change and people can still die, and infectious disease experts in the Bay Area warn that the home section doesn’t mean you can still celebrate if you haven’t been vaccinated.
The CDC says young people are making outbreaks in the Northeast and Midwest because they have not yet been vaccinated and everyone is throwing caution to the wind. And just as experts predict two months ago, option B.1.1.7, first discovered in the United Kingdom, has become the dominant strain in the United States, as it is 50% to 70% more contagious. And if you feel young and dull and need some motivation to catch the virus, a new study suggests that a third of people with mild cases of COVID suffer from long-term “brain disease,” including brain fog, anxiety, paranoia. and prolonged loss of smell or taste. Do you like these odds?
In addition, if you become infected, you risk infecting your vaccinated or unvaccinated friends – so-called “breakthrough” cases in which vaccinated people become ill are rare, according to experts, according to the New York Times, but they still happen and we still I don’t know what happens to the worst of the options.
“Nothing has changed for the unvaccinated and never infected person,” said Dr. Bob Wachter, chair of the UCSF’s Department of Medicine, in an interview with the Chronicle this week. “What has changed is that the virus to which they may be exposed is … probably better at its job than the one that was circulating in 2020.”
Everyone in San Francisco has the right to receive the vaccine from next week, April 15, and we hope that deliveries will be accelerated and the process will be fast.
But until you’re two weeks out of your first shot, you have relatively decent immunity at this point – or great immunity if you’ve got a J&J shot – your behavior shouldn’t change. You should not party indoors. You probably shouldn’t eat indoors in restaurants. You don’t have to travel anywhere and never be quarantined. You should not go out every night to drink with different people at an outdoor bar table.
If you get a shot with Pfizer or Moderna, your behavior should also not change significantly until five to six weeks later or two weeks after the second shot.
And everyone still has to wear masks in public, probably for most of this year, unfortunately. YES, it sucks. But it’s not theater, as Dr. Anthony Foci told the stubborn Rand Paul last month – unknowns with the options mean none of this is theater.
please let’s get to June without a new leap, without the mayor of London, Breed, and Dr. Colfax having to go into another gloomy session of Zoom and scold us for fucking that up. We are so close.
Infectious disease expert at the University of Berkeley, John Swartzberg – who was, of course, one of the most cautious and pessimistic of local experts – told the Chronicle: “I feel unsure what will happen this month, in what direction things are going well. ” He says April will be “major” for California and “If we can get through this month without a significant jump, we will be in very, very good shape.”
So, let’s do it! Let’s go through this month. If you haven’t got a shot yet, try spending a little more time at home than you want, and keep doing things outdoors if you go out. Things can still go south for the bay area and you don’t want to be partly to blame for that!
We have a summer to look forward to. And a fall that is already starting to look crowded with events. Please just cool off.
Photo: Drew Coffman