As India continues to register more than 300,000 daily cases of Covid-19, it is difficult to say when the country will reach its peak, said Chandrika Bahadur, chair of the Lancet Covid-1
“There are some epidemiological assessments that say we are closing at the peak, but these are all predictions. So it’s hard to say whether the peak will come in mid-May … or it will take a little longer, “she told CNN.
However, India will continue to see high mortality due to Covid-19 in May, as deaths lag behind the rise in infections.
While the Lancet recommends locks to control the numbers, Bahadur says it is a “double-edged sword” for a country like India and needs a nuanced approach.
“There are still a large number of districts in the country that do not see the wave we are seeing in Delhi … and other high-risk places in the country. And there you may have a strategy that is less about locks and much more about wearing masks and distancing and banning rallies, ”she explained. “Elsewhere, however, unfortunately, there is no way out, where the numbers are as they are, except for the exclusion for a few weeks.”
Evidence shows that the one-week blockades do not work and must last “at least six weeks before you can really start to see a significant decline,” she added.
Bahadur acknowledges that such a move would require provisions for the poor, “because it could be devastating.”
“It’s a terrible choice. “I sympathize with the government because it is a difficult choice under any circumstances,” she said. “This is the election ahead of us. None of them are good. “