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Predictions for best film at the Oscars for 2022

Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars ceremony from film awards editor Clayton Davis. Following history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Academy Awards predictions are updated regularly with the current year's list of contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. The eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and is subject to change.

To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE COLLECTIVE
Visit each category, per the individual awards show from THE HUB
Revisit the prediction archive of the 2021



PURPOSES OF THE 2021 Oscars:

UPDATED: May 3, 2021

AWARDS FOREWORD COMMENT: Traditionally for the last 16 years, I’ve always thrown shots in the dark during the week, right after the Oscars. For the first time, my best choice of the year, Chloé Zhao’s “Nomadland,” won a photo and a director. Can lightning strike twice?

The last two years have included thoughts that Kasi Lemmons’ Harriet will have a big debut at the Academy in 2019, with top spots for the eventual nominee Cynthia Erivo, but the love ends there. In 2018, I suspected that the “Irishman” by Martin Scorsese would arrive on time, but alas, he was displaced until 2019.

Other previous selections include the 2017 Phantom Thread (then untitled), the 2016 Silence (although I had Moonlight in the planned 10), the 2015 Good Dinosaur (Pixar should struggles for a moment, right?), 2014 “Inherent Vice” (why not a new experience for Paul Thomas Anderson?), 2013 “The Counselor” (always circling the overdue story of Ridley Scott), 2012. ” Lincoln ”(probably a runner-up to“ Argo ”, which was also predicted) and“ War Horse ”from 2011 (Steven Spielberg is never a bad choice).

While it’s exciting to be a promising contender for awards, no one likes to be a favorite so early, so I should preface this with: we don’t know anything yet.

I must also emphasize that credited producers, release dates and rankings are subject to change … in other words, let’s not take this too seriously.

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CODA / Courtesy of Sundance Institute


  1. "House of Gucci" (MGM / United Artists Release)
    Giannina Facio, Mark Huffam, Ridley Scott, Kevin J. Walsh (producers)

  2. "Nightmare Alley" (Spotlights)
    J. Miles Dale, Guillermo del Toro (producers)

  3. "Tick, Tick...Boom!" (Netflix)
    Brian Grazer, Ron Howard, Lin-Manuel Miranda, Julie Oh (producers)

  4. "The Harder They Fall" (Netflix)
    Lawrence Bender, Jay-Z, James Lassiter, Jeymes Samuel (producers)

  5. "Being the Ricardos" (Amazon Studios)
    Todd Black, Jason Blumenthal, Steve Tisch (producers)

  6. "Blue Bayou" (Focus functions)
    Poppy Hanks, Charles D. King, Kim Roth (producers)

  7. "Don't Worry Darling" (Warner Bros.)
    Roy Lee, Olivia Wilde, Miri Yoon (producers)

  8. "CODA" (Apple TV Plus)
    Fabrice Gianfermi, Philippe Rousselet, Patrick Wachsberger (producers)

  9. "Encanto" (Walt Disney Photos)
    Yvett Merino Flores, Clark Spencer (producers)

  10. "Flee" (Neon)
    Natalie Farrery, Signe Byrge (producers)

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Courtesy of Amazon


  1. "A Journal for Jordan" (Sony Pictures)
    Todd Black, Denzel Washington, Michael B. Jordan, Jason Blumenthal, Steve Tisch, Aaron L. Gilbert (producers)

  2. "Annette" (Amazon Studios)
    Adam Driver, Charles Gillibert, Paul-Dominique Win Vacharasinthu (producers)

  3. "The Power of the Dog" (Netflix)
    Jane Campion, Iain Canning, Roger Frappier, Tanya Seghatchian, Emile Sherman (producer)

  4. "The Tragedy of Macbeth" (A24)
    Joel Coen (producers)

  5. "Eternals" (Marvel Studios)
    Kevin Feige (producers)

  6. "In the Heights" (Warner Bros.)
    Lin-Manuel Miranda, Quiara Alegría Hudes, Scott Sanders, Anthony Bregman, Mara Jacobs (producers)

  7. "Don't Look Up" (Netflix)
    Adam McKay, Kevin Messick, Scott Stuber, Betsy Koch, Todd Schulman (producers)

  8. "The Northman" (Focus functions)
    Lars Knudsen, Mark Huffam, Arnon Milchan (producers)

  9. "Dear Evan Hansen" (Universal photos)
    Marc Platt, Adan Siegel (producers)

  10. "West Side Story" (20th Century Studio)
    Kristie Macosko Krieger, Kevin McCollum, Steven Spielberg (producer)

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DUNE, left: left: Timothee Chalamet, Rebecca Ferguson, 2020. ph: Chiabella James / © Warner Bros. / Courtesy Everett Collection
Courtesy of Warner Bros.


  1. "The Last Duel" (20th Century Studio)
    Jennifer Fox, Ridley Scott, Kevin J. Walsh, Nicole Holofcener (producers)

  2. "Dune" (Warner Bros.)
    Cale Boyter, Joe Caracciolo Jr, Mary Parent, Denis Villeneuve (producers)

  3. "Belfast" (Focus functions)
    Laura Berwick, Celia Duvall, Becca Kovacik, Tamar Thomas (producers)

  4. "Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project" (MGM / United Artists Release)
    Paul Thomas Anderson, Sara Murphy, JoAnne Sellar, Daniel Lupi (producers)

  5. "A Hero" (Amazon Studios)
    Asghar Farhadi, Alexandre Mallet-Guy (producers)

  6. "King Richard" (Warner Bros.)
    James Lassiter, Will Smith, Tim White, Trevor White (producers)

  7. "Blonde" (Netflix)
    Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner, Tracey London, Brad Pitt, Scott Robertson (producers)

  8. "Official Competition" (Sony Pictures Classics)
    Jaume Roures (producers)

  9. "Last Night in Soho" (Focus functions)
    Tim Bevan, Eric Fellner, Nira Park, Edgar Wright (producers)

  10. "Passing" (Netflix)
    Nina Yang Bongiovi, Rebecca Hall, Margot Hand, Forest Whitaker (producers)

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The French dispatcher


  1. "The Humans" (A24)
    Eli Bush (producers)

  2. "The Card Counter" (Focus functions)
    Braxton Pope, Lauren Mann, David Wulf (producers)

  3. "The Lost Daughter" (Not available in the US)
    Charlie Dorfman, Maggie Gyllenhaal, Osnat Handelsman-Keren, Talia Kleinhendler (producers)

  4. "Mass" (Not available in the US)
    Fran Kranz, Dylan Matlock, Casey Wilder Mott, J.P. Ouellette (producers)

  5. "The French Dispatch" (Spotlights)
    Wes Anderson, Jeremy Dawson, Steven Rales (producers)

  6. "Zola" (A24)
    Kara Baker, David Hinojosa, Christsine Vachon, Gia Walsh, Elizabeth Haggard, Dave Fanco (producers)

  7. "The Electrical Life of Louis Wain" (Amazon Studios)
    Adam Ackland, Ed Clarke, Leah Clarke, Guy Heeley (producers)

  8. "Swan Song" (Apple TV Plus)
    Todd Stephens, Tim Kaltenecker, Rhet Topham, Stephen Israel, Erick Eisenbrey (producers)

  9. "No Time to Die" (MGM / United Artists Release)
    Michael G. Wilson, Barbara Broccoli (producers)

  10. "Madres Paralelas" (Sony Pictures Classics)
    Pedro Almodóvar (producer)

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Bruised … Directed by Halle Berry … Halle Berry’s directorial debut follows a former MMA fighter who is struggling to regain custody of his son and restart his athletic career.
Courtesy of TIFF


  1. "Bruised" (Netflix)
    Basil Iwanyk, Brad Feinstein, Guymon Casady, Linda Gottlieb, Erica Lee (producers)

  2. "C'mon C'mon" (A24)
    Chelsea Barnard, Andrea Longacre-White, Lila Yacoub (producers)

  3. "The Tender Bar" (Amazon Studios)
    George Clooney, Grant Heslov, Ted Hope (producers)

  4. "The Hand of God" (Netflix)
    Paolo Sorrentino, Lorenzo Mieli (producers)

  5. "Women Talking" (Orion Pictures) †
    Frances McDormand (producers)

  6. "Next Goal Wins" (Spotlights)
    Garrett Basch, Jonathan Cavendish, Taika Waititi (producers)

  7. "The Duke" (Sony Pictures Classics)
    Nicky Bentham (producers)

  8. "Respect" (MGM / United Artists Release)
    Scott Bernstein, Harvey Mason, Jr. (producers)

  9. "The Guilty" (Netflix)
    Jake Gyllenhaal, Riva Marker, Antonie Fuqua, Kat Samick, Scott Greenberg, Michel Litvak, Gary Michael Walters, David Litvak, Svetlana Metkina, David Haring (producers)

  10. "The Way of the Wind" (Not available in the US)
    Josh Jeter (producers)

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Dev Patel in The Green Knight by David Lowry
Eric Zakhanovich



The academic awards, better known as Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious art award in the film industry. The most awarded films in Oscar history are “Ben-Hur”, “Titanic” and “The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King” in 11 statuettes. The most nominated films in the history of the Academy are “All About Eve”, “Titanic” and “La La Land” in 14. “La La Land” is the only film of the three that lost the best picture. The biggest “losers” for the Oscars, which means the most nominated and leave with zero awards, are “The Turning Point” from 1977 and “The Color Purple” from 1985 with 11 each.

2022 Predictions for Academy Awards

  • Best movie
  • Best director
  • Best actor
  • Best actress
  • Best Supporting Actor
  • Best Supporting Actress
  • Best original script
  • Best adapted script
  • Best animated film
  • Best production design
  • Best cinematography
  • Best costume design
  • Best film editing
  • Best makeup and hairstyles
  • Best sound
  • Best visual effects
  • Best original result
  • Best original song
  • Best Documentary
  • The best international game
  • Best animated short film
  • Best Short Documentary
  • Best short action live

The predictions for the Oscars for 2021 are here.

About the Oscars (Oscars)

The academic awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious art award in the film industry. Since 1927, the nominees and winners have been chosen by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). 17 branches are represented within the membership of nearly 10,000 people. The branches are actors, collaborators, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentarians, executives, film editors, make-up artists and hairdressers, marketing and public relations, members in general, members in general (artists’ representatives), music, producers , production design, short films and feature animations, sound, visual effects and screenwriters.

  • The date for the 94 Oscars is yet to be announced.

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