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Road Map of Hurricane Dorian: Latest Euro Model, NOAA Graphics and Spaghetti Models | World News



Hurricane Dorian has already hit the US Virgin Islands and is now moving across the Atlantic to the US state of Florida. The terrifying weather system eliminates maximum sustained winds of 105mph, making it a Category 2 hurricane on the Saffir Simpson wind scale. Dorian's forecast will intensify and become a major Category 3 hurricane later on Friday. The last NOAA council issued a hurricane watch for the northwestern Bahamas.

Hurricane Dorian is expected to be on the doorstep of Florida on Monday morning and the title is very gradually turning left, with the last estimate being northwest.

The high degree is expected to extend to the west, with a blocking ridge established over the western Atlantic over the next few days.

NOAA stated, "The high is expected to extend to the west, with the blocking ridge rising over the western Atlantic over the next few days.

'With the exception of COAMPS-TC and HMON, the other reliable models are in excellent agreement on day 3, with Dorian turning west to south of the ridge and moving near or over the northernmost islands of the Bahamas on Sundays and Monday.

"After day 3, the steering currents collapse when a break in the ridge develops, and Dorian is likely to slow significantly as it approaches the Florida Peninsula. [1

9659003] "During this time, there is widespread distribution among deterministic models and members of their ensemble, disagreeing exactly when and where Dorian will turn northwest and north on days 4 and 5."

READ MORE : Hurricane Dorian tracker: Category 3 hurricane can crash Florida

GFS models are holding Dorian off the coast of Florida, possibly making landfall further north in Jacksonville, in its forecast Thursday.

The model even suggests that Dorian can drive up the coastline, not making landfall in Florida at all.

Accuweather reports: "At this time, there is a likelihood of stormy rain and wind gusts pushing northwest through part of the Florida Peninsula starting Saturday night and continuing into Sunday night.

The Meteorological Service added, "Floods and power outages are possible." the Euro model sees a hurricane that makes landfall in southeast Florida, perhaps near Fort Lauderdale.

Dorian will then head west, affecting areas off the Sarasota coast. [19659003] "If Dorian stays above land for time after reaching Florida, the system will slowly weaken and rain will be above the southeast corner of the United States during Labor Day and beyond," AccuWeather said.

The key message from the NHC is: the risk of dangerous storms and hurricanes with a strong hurricane later this week and this weekend.

NOAA warned that Dorian is likely to intensify in a major Category 4 hurricane in the next few days.

The latest forecast reads: "The biggest worry will be the slow movement of Dorian when near Florida, which puts some areas of the state at increased risk of a prolonged, drawn out event of high winds, dangerous storms and heavy rainfall.

"There will be substantial dry air from the middle and upper levels on the south side of the hurricane, as shown by G-IV mission tonight, which allows only slow daylight fortification.

" However, Dorian turns west-northwest, however, the cut should fall somewhat as it moves northeastward at the upper low level near the Florida Straits, and winds upward will no longer be directed to the core, which will help reduce dry air retention. [19659003] "All these changes should encourage intensification tion, while Dorian is moving over 29C east of Florida so that the intensity forecast is raised from the previous one, in accordance with the adjusted consensus guidelines.

"Unfortunately, I do not see large-scale factors that would prevent Dorian from becoming an extremely dangerous Category 4 hurricane over the next few days. ”


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