Indicators for hospitalization as number of patients andFans used for COVID-19 have been declining for about eight weeks, with several indicators reduced to April levels, according to hospital data reported to the state.
The number of identified cases has risen to 208,512, with a total of 5,322 known deaths, according to a daily report from the Arizona Department of Health. The seven new known deaths reported on Sunday were the new deaths identified by the State Health Department that day, but many days and weeks before. Daily new cases fluctuate between about 80 and 1,100 new cases per day in the last three weeks.
The dashboard on Sunday shows 81% of inpatient beds and 79% of used intensive care beds, which includes people treated for COVID-19 and other patients. Patients with COVID-19 use 7% of all inpatient beds and 10% of intensive care beds. In general, 25% fans are used.
Most people who get sick are not hospitalized. The state does not report the number of recovered cases, although it does report hospital discharges.
For most of the pandemic, testing is not keeping pace with the spread of the virus, but the state is working to expand the tests and reduce the time to complete the results, which was up to two weeks or more for some tests, even until July. Sonora Quest, the country’s largest test processor, said it had cleared its test lag and returned most results within two days.
The number of weekly tests decreased significantly in July and August.
Of the known test results over the past three weeks, 4% have returned positive, according to the state, which has a unique way of calculating percentage positivity. Johns Hopkins University estimates the seven-day moving average of the percentage of positive results in Arizona at 7.3% and shows that in recent weeks it has usually decreased, but is now on a higher plateau. A degree of positivity of 5% is considered a good indicator that the spread is under control.
Here’s what you need to know about Friday’s numbers.
Reported cases in Arizona: 208,512
Cases have increased by 384, or 0.18%, of the 208,128 cases identified on Saturday since the outbreak began.
District cases: 137,507 in Maricopa, 22,418 in Pima, 12,400 in Yuma, 10,183 in Pinal, 5,686 in Navajo, 3,790 in Mojave, 3,550 in Coconino, 3,386 in Apache, 2,783 in Santa Cruz, 2,423 in Yapapai, 1860 in Cauchy, 1168 in Gila, 774 in Graham, 526 in La Paz and 58 in Greenlee, according to US numbers.
The incidence rate per 100,000 people is highest in Yuma County, followed by Santa Cruz, Navajo and Apache counties.
The Navajo nation reported 9,969 cases and 530 confirmed deaths as of Saturday. The Navajo nation includes parts of Arizona, New Mexico and Utah.
The Arizona Penitentiary said 24,264 inmates had tested positive for COVID-19 as of Friday, including 953 in Tucson; 39,558 prisoners were tested by a population of about 39,022; 4027 test results are forthcoming. Thirteen detainees were confirmed to have died from COVID-19, and 14 additional deaths were investigated.
While race / ethnicity is unknown in 33% of cases, 30% of cases are Hispanic or Latin American, 24% of cases are white, 6% are Native Americans, 3% are black and 1% are Asian / Pacific Islanders.
The laboratories completed 1,296,137 diagnostic tests for COVID-19, 12.0% of which were positive. The percentage of positive tests has increased since mid-May, but began to decline in July. That was 4% for tests that have returned so far in the last three weeks, according to government numbers that exclude data from laboratories that do not report electronically.
Deaths reported: 5322 known deaths
Seven new deaths were reported on Sunday, although many had occurred days and weeks before.
District deaths: 3154 in Maricopa, 602 in Pima, 337 in Yuma, 227 in Navajo, 217 in Mojave, 195 in Pinal, 158 in Apache, 132 in Coconino, 80 in Yawapai, 67 in Kochise, 61 in Santa Cruz, 51 at Gila, 24 at Graham, 15 at La Paz, and less than three at Greenley.
People aged 65 and over make up 3,802 out of 5,322 deaths, or 71%.
While race / ethnicity is unknown for 11% of deaths, 42% of deaths were white, 31% were Hispanic or Hispanic, 11% were Indian, 3% were black, and 1% were Asian / Pacific Islanders.
Hospitalizations continue to decline steadily
Patients with suspected and confirmed COVID-19 were at 525 on Saturday, the same level of COVID-19 patients as in mid-April. The number of inpatients has been declining for more than eight weeks. Hospitalizations exceed 3,000 per day for most of July and have been steadily declining since then.
Intensive care bed use for presumed and confirmed patients with COVID-19 was 171 beds used on Saturday, down from 185 beds used on Friday. The occupancy of the intensive care unit for patients with COVID-19 is at the lowest level reported since the beginning of April. Occupied beds gradually decrease over eight weeks.
Ventilator use for suspected and confirmed COVID-19 patients was 87 on Saturday, the lowest since hospitals began reporting data in early April. The number of fans typically declines for eight weeks after hitting the record-breaking 687 fans used on July 16.
Visits to the emergency department for patients with suspected and confirmed COVID-19 were at 838 on Saturday. In general, with few exceptions, daily emergency visits are gradually declining. Daily ER visits first exceeded 1000 on 16 June and have since been above this level almost every day, while daily ER visits have fallen below 1000 on 9 August. The number has since hovered around or below 1000.
The number of patients with suspected and confirmed positive COVID-19 discharged from hospitals was 189 discharged on Saturday. In July there is a relatively high number of dilutions, which usually decrease since then.
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