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A day after being removed from Facebook for another two years, former President Donald Trump is returning to the political arena on Saturday night, ready to return to his comfort zone, speaking of the kind of platform he seems to like best.
He gave a speech before the Republican Party convention in North Carolina, starting what is likely to be the impetus for the summer campaign. This is his first public speech since addressing the Conference on Conservative Political Action in February.
Trump called it a “great honor to speak” to the group.
“I understand that the place will be crowded, all records are broken!” He boasted in an email statement.
In that statement, Trump also circulated false statements about the vote in the 2020 election, which he lost, and in response to Facebook’s announcement that it was banned at least until January 2023, he continued to lie that the election was “rigged.” “.
Trump has been stopped and continues to be, Facebook said, because of the way he uses the platform leading to and during the January 6 violence in the Capitol.
Trump called the decision an “insult” to the people who voted for him. But Trump’s reactions come as no surprise. The re-run of the election process is what he has been focusing on to a large extent since leaving office. This was evident from an NPR analysis of almost two months of his statements.
Expect the same Saturday night.
“We know exactly what he’s going to say – the election was rigged, stolen,” said Doug Hay, a former Republican National Committee spokesman and a native of North Carolina. “He will be annoyed to run for president again. Wouldn’t you like me to run again?” Well, I’m thinking … “And I’m going to shoot those who voted for impeachment,” and criticize him.
Hitting the road
Choosing a place for Trump to start his campaign is like a soft start. By doing so, there is no pressure to create the scene and crowd that traditional rallies would have.
“It makes sense for Trump to make a state party convention,” Hay said. “It’s a controlled environment and you don’t risk the empty seats you could have at rallies – there are no more football stadiums.”
But Trump will soon try to hold these big rallies again. He is expected to go on the road with two rallies, which are announced next month, and later this summer they will come to strengthen both the allies and the contenders for the Republican candidates who have spoken out against him.
Among them are Georgian Secretary of State Brad Rafensperger, who Trump said should have done more to help him win the country he lost in the presidential election, and Ohio’s Anthony Gonzalez, who voted for Trump’s impeachment.
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These events are supposed to be for others, but in the past they always seem to return to Trump. Feeling limited by the office and Washington, these rallies became almost therapeutic for the 45th president. He would feed on the friendly crowds, recharge his batteries, and dig into harder messages about cultural warfare.
The most important person in the party
Ever since he left office and was launched by major social media platforms, Trump has struggled to control the political narrative.
It has dropped a blog-like feature on its website for statements, and a state-of-the-art social media platform is yet to materialize. To receive the news, it was emailed – and he hopes it will be shared on major platforms.
Yet Trump remains the most influential figure and the most powerful force in the Republican Party, despite the impatient number of candidates waiting on the wings.
Trump remains very popular with Republican voters, and his positions are essentially those of CSO leaders. This is despite party figures such as Parliamentary Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, who initially criticized Trump for his role in the Jan. 6 uprising in the Capitol.
Since then, McCarthy has calmed down with Trump, betting that riding the former president’s coat is the best way to get the House back – and make him a speaker. McConnell united other Republicans in blocking an independent 9/11 commission to more fully investigate the Jan. 6 uprising.
This was sung from the Trump anthem.
“Republicans in the House and Senate should not approve of the Commission’s Democrat trap on Jan. 6,” Trump said in a statement on May 18, adding, “Republicans must become much tougher and smarter and stop being used by the radical left. We hope Mitch McConnell and Kevin McCarthy are listening! “
Positioned to win the GOP nomination again
Although Trump has attracted many voters, there are many reasons for Republicans to consider nominating him twice again as their flag bearer. They include:
- It lacks the discipline that many Republicans in private – and some in public – find it harder to adopt policies that Conservatives care about;
- some Republicans are tired of the chaos it brings – even if they agree with it on politics;
- he would be 78 if he had to win in 2024, the same age as President Biden;
- his assessments of favoring the independents are extremely low; and
- only one other president won a second term after losing his re-election more than a century ago, Grover Cleveland.
“I will be really curious to see how many candidates want to campaign with him in the general election,” said Alex Conant, founding partner at consulting firm Firehouse Strategies and former communications director for Marco Rubio’s 2016 presidential campaign.
But when it comes to the Republican presidential term, Trump is in a better position than anyone else in the party. Everyone knows who he is – and name recognition is extremely important – and Republicans love him.
In a recent Quinipiac poll, 85 percent of Republicans said they wanted candidates who agreed with Trump. Two-thirds said they want Trump to run again and be a party candidate in 2024.
“I think a lot of GP voters are excited about the next generation of candidates,” Conant said, “but if Trump runs in 2024, it will be difficult to beat him in the primary.”
Placing 2024 “ice field”
Florida Gov. Ron Desantis campaigned for a governor with an ad telling his child, playing with paper bricks, to “build the wall.” And since winning this race, he has no doubt aspired to run for president.
Both DeSantis and South Dakota Gov. Christy Noem, another possible candidate in 2024, have gained notoriety in conservative circles for tackling the coronavirus pandemic by defiantly opposing mandates and keeping businesses open. Noem also spoke before the North Carolina GOP on Saturday.
Others, such as South Carolina Senator Tim Scott and former UN Ambassador Trump Nicky Haley, have also received much attention as potential candidates.
Scott delivered the answer to Biden’s address to a joint session of Congress. And Hailey, who has links up and down with Trump, has created a group that should advocate for conservative policies, but it looks more like a campaign site waiting for Haley.
And, of course, there is former Vice President Mike Pence. He also seems ready to run if given the chance. He has now appeared in Texas for fundraising in the state and in the first presidential states of South Carolina and New Hampshire.
He made the news Thursday in New Hampshire when he said he did not think he and Trump would “see face to face” around Jan. 6. Pence was the target of the pro-Trump mob that day, and Trump tweeted during the uprising that “Pence did not have the courage to do what needed to be done to protect our country and our constitution. “
Pence’s comments, shared with Trump on the uprising, became headlines, but much of his speech in New Hampshire praised the former president and what he said they had accomplished. It was an attempt to pierce a very fine needle to help his position as a potential serious candidate.
However, Trump does not seem ready to hand over the baton, or rather the “mantle of anger,” as he once put it during his 2016 run.
“I’m taking this very seriously,” Trump told ally and conservative media personality Sean Hannity in April whether he would run again. “Beyond serious. From a legal point of view, I still don’t want to talk about it. It’s a little early.”
On Friday, in response to news on Facebook, Trump gave perhaps the clearest hint so far that he could intend to run. Threatening to stop having dinner with Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg and his wife, Trump began his statement with the phrase:
“Next time I’m in the White House …”
It is good that Trump will most likely hold out his final decision until the last minute, putting the other candidates into a deep freeze.
“His presence there keeps the rest of the ice field,” Hay said. “They’re going to go to New Hampshire and Iowa, etc., but they can’t rent a lot and they absolutely can’t announce a campaign. The first one to do that will take any incoming from Trump.”
This will irritate other potential candidates. As long as they try to stay on Trump’s good mercy, there will inevitably be admiration from people close to these candidates, in anonymous quotes in presidential field stories, perhaps caught “sooner rather than later,” he said. Hey, “but I’m not sure if it matters. Trump joined the race relatively late in 2016, had no real campaign, and still won.”