The availability of an intensive care unit in the Gulf region jumped to 23.4% on Saturday after weeks of single-digit availability, a strong signal that the worst jump is in the past.
However, it was not immediately clear when the region could withdraw from the state residence order. It is assumed that the contract will be canceled when the availability of the intensive care unit is expected to exceed 15%, looking four weeks ahead.
Currently, the bay, which includes the nine main counties, as well as the counties of Monterey and Santa Cruz, is far above this threshold at the moment.
The Sacramento region of 13 counties was removed from the state, which was blocked more than a week ago. But the intensive care unit for this region remains at 1
Public health officials could not be reached immediately on Saturday to comment on when the lock could be lifted for the Bay Area and why the Bay Area remains blocked, while Sacramento – with worse intensive care numbers – did not. .
The figures look good, Marine County Public Health Officer Matt Willis told The Chronicle on Saturday, adding that he hopes the Bay Area lock will be lifted in the near future.
“This is the call of the state,” he said. “But we all look at the same numbers and we all feel hopeful.”
San Francisco Mayor London Breed said Friday that the city “may soon reopen as instructed by California” as the city’s coronavirus transmission rate has dropped.
“This means that for every person who receives COVID-19, he transmits it to less than one person on average. We are slowing down the spread, “Breed wrote on Twitter.
The reproduction rate of COVID-19 in San Francisco is below 1, at 0.99!
This means that for every person who receives COVID-19, he transmits it to less than one person on average. We are slowing down the spread.
If this continues, we may soon be able to reopen as directed by the CA.
– London breed (@LondonBreed) January 22, 2021
Lifting the lock will allow the Gulf region to resume activities allowed under the state’s purple state, including outdoor dining. Outdoor meetings with people outside your household can also be resumed – albeit with a maximum limit of three households. Hairdressing salons can resume customer service indoors. However, individual counties could continue to prohibit some of these activities, apart from state orders.
California health officials use a complex formula that has not been made public to predict the availability of an intensive care unit after four weeks. “At the moment, the forecasts are not shared publicly,” Public Health spokesman Ali Bay said in an email to the Associated Press.
When the order in the Sacramento region was canceled, the availability of the intensive care unit was about 9%.
The state’s lack of explanation has created confusion, and it is the opposite of what the state should do, said David Canepa, president of the San Mateo County Supervisory Board.
The information must be “clear, concise and, most importantly, to avoid confusion,” he said.
The numbers looked encouraging, Kanepa added.
“I’m worried that the public will hear this and think it’s safe to go out with your usual attitude,” he said. “I would also like to have dinner at my favorite restaurants, but for now I will stay at home and order food. If we manage to reduce these figures next month, then I say well done. I will be the first in line to get a haircut at the barber shop.
“In the meantime,” he said, “stay home, if you can, avoid gatherings, and wear your damn masks.”
This story is evolving.
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
Lauren Hernandez and Jill Tucker are writers for the San Francisco Chronicle staff. Email: email@example.com firstname.lastname@example.org Twitter: @ByLHernandez @jilltucker