A key model predicts approximately 171,000 coronavirus-related deaths by February 2021, a number that would represent a 78% jump
The model of the Institute for Health Indicators and Evaluation at the University of Washington School of Medicine estimates that there will be approximately 389,087 deaths by February 1.
If all Americans use face masks, the model’s best-case scenario predicts 314,000 deaths by that date. However, the model predicts more than 477,000 deaths if mask mandates are eased.
“We expect deaths to stop declining and start increasing in the next one to two weeks,” the researchers said, according to CNN. “The winter tide seems to have started a little later than the wave in Europe. Daily deaths will reach more than 2,000 a day in January, even in many countries that reschedule their mandates before the end of the year.”
As of Thursday morning, the United States now averaged approximately 52,345 new daily cases, an increase of 16% over the previous week.
An analysis of COPID-19 data from Johns Hopkins University found that 21 countries reported a peak in weekly averages of new cases since the beginning of the pandemic CNN reported.
Countries with record increases in new cases include Alaska, Colorado, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Mexico, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, South Dakota. Utah, West Virginia, Wisconsin and Wyoming.
Public health experts warn that the increasing number of cases will continue to increase as the weather cools and people move indoors.
Anthony FauciAnthony FauciTrump asks questions about the coronavirus, conspiracy theories at City Hall Chris Christie says he was “wrong” not wearing a face mask at the White House at night. McConnell downloads .8 trillion coronavirus deals MORE, the government ‘s top infectious disease expert, warned on Thursday that American families should “assess the risks and benefits” of holding Coronavirus Thanksgiving.
“This time we really have to be careful and each individual family appreciates the risks and benefits of this, especially when there are people coming from outside the city who may have been on planes, at airports,” Fauci said.
He described the current situation in the United States as “quite worrying [and] we really need to double the basic fundamental public health measures that we talk about every day, because they can make a difference. “