JACKSONVILLE, Fla. – The 11:00 a.m. forecast by the National Hurricane Center calls for a tropical storm Dorian will reach almost hurricane power when it approaches Puerto Rico on Wednesday and puts the entire East Coast on the path of the fourth tropical storm for the season.
Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic are under hurricane surveillance and tropical storm warnings for Martinique and Saint Vincent and the Grenadines as the Dorian tropical storm approaches. The Dorian tropical storm has maximum sustained winds of nearly 50 mph on Tuesday morning and is expected to intensify over the next 48 hours, passing near or south of the U.S. on Wednesday just under the force of the hurricane.
"There is still no significant change in the previous forecast path or reasoning" published in the last piece of advice.
This means continuing the trail south of Puerto Rico and then interacting with the eventual drying of the Dominican Republic on Wednesday night.
The big question in the forecast is how strong the storm will interact with the land and mountains on Thursday as it moves past Spain. Interaction can break the storm. In addition, there is plenty of dry air behind the island, which can act in addition to storm erosion.
If these factors do not have a strong impact on Dorian, then we will face a tropical storm moving through the Bahamas to South or Central Florida over Labor Day weekend. If it breaks down, remember that moisture continues to flow to Florida.
The latest correction of the Dorian Tropical Storm forecast keeps it stronger for longer, but holds on to the hurricane as it passes through the Caribbean.
The Hunter Hunter aircraft found less than expected storm Monday night. The dry air surrounding the storm will stop it from growing rapidly. Many models, including the EURO, weaken the low open wave on Wednesday night before closing at the Greater Antilles.
RELATED: How fast can you evacuate? It depends on where you live
While watching closely #TropicalStormDorian all residents of the East Coast must prepare for heavy rain. This includes cleaning clogged areas or debris around your house and gutters to prevent water damage to your property. #FLPrepares
̵1; FL Emergency Management Department (@FLSERT) August 27, 2019
The islands are already feeling the impact
The storm knocked out energy in Barbados at night, where crews began clearing trees early Tuesday and repair the power grid. Jackie Marshall-Clark, spokesman for Barbados Light & Power, said on state television that many communities in the northern region of the island are without electricity.
Government officials said that by Tuesday morning, public transport would resume and business would reopen.
Home Secretary Edmond Hinkson said that Dorian "is said to be weakening and this is great news, but we are not at risk yet."
The storm was expected to erupt between 3 and 6 inches of rain in the Wind Islands, with isolated quantities of 10 inches.
Tropical storm watches were in effect for Dominica, Grenada, Saba, St. Eustatius and parts of the Dominican Republic from Isla Saona to Punta Palenque and from Samana to Puerto Plata.
In St. Lucia, Prime Minister Alan Chastenet said "we expect the worst" and announced that everything on the island of nearly 179,000 people would close on Monday night before the storm, but that it remained under the power of the hurricane in the beginning on Tuesday.
Bottled water ran out in Puerto Rico in some grocery stores as people rushed to buy supplies, including generators and filled their cars with gas. Many are worried about a power outage and heavy rainfall on an island still struggling to recover from Hurricane Maria, a Category 4 storm that hit in September 2017. Some 30,000 homes still have blue eaves like roofs, and the power grid remains fragile and prone to interruptions. during brief rains.
"The biggest problem will be the rain," says Roberto Garcia, a forecaster for the National Weather Service in Puerto Rico.
On Monday, the Government of Puerto Rico's Vanda Vazquez signed an executive order declaring a state of emergency and providing a list of all new equipment purchased by public agencies since Hurricane Maria.
"I want everyone to feel relaxed," she said. "Agency directors have been preparing for the last two years. Maria's experience was a great lesson for everyone. "
She said public schools would close Tuesday afternoon and that at least one cruise ship canceled its voyage to Puerto Rico. She said those without a proper roof could stay in one of the 360 shelters around the island.
Also Monday, a new tropical depression formed between the American coast of Ias and Bermuda. It was located about 365 miles southeast of Cape Hateras, North Carolina, moving east at 2 mph with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph. It was expected to become a tropical storm by Tuesday evening and continue to the spirit of the US east coast this week en route to Canada's North Atlantic provinces.
Copyright 2019 by WJXT News4Jax – All Rights Reserved.