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The useful hour will do almost nothing to stop the spread of COVID



Closing at 10 pm will not be enough.
Photo: Bill Tompkins / Getty images

It has been completely overshadowed by school closures, but since Friday, New York has imposed a curfew at 10pm to counter the growing cases of COVID-19, just as dozens of other cities, counties and states have done. Most of them are not full time at all – they are more like an earlier “last call” for bars, restaurants and gyms. California Gov. Gavin Newsum has just announced that 40 counties – much of the state – will be placed under a similar curfew, beginning Saturday at 10 p.m., along with some more significant restrictions. In several other places, more punitive measures are being taken outside the mandatory closure time. Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine has ordered “detaining Ohio residents in their homes between 10:00 and 5:00 a.m. for three weeks,” beginning today. People seen in groups during curfew can be contacted by the police.

The modernity of the curfew has embarrassed public health officials, who say they are simply a weaker form of more effective home stay orders than leaders who are resistant to the complete shutdown of cities. According to experts from the Johns Hopkins School of Public Health Bloomberg, who today shared a roadmap to reverse the alarming trends of coronavirus in the country, the best way to stop the exponential progress of the COVID-19 march – as always – is “Closing high-risk activities in which the epidemic is deteriorating and restoring orders to stay in the home where healthcare systems are in crisis. “Curfew is nowhere on their list of recommendations – and it can even make matters worse.” I understand what they’re trying to do, “said Dr. Amesh A. Adalya, a senior scientist at the Johns Hopkins Health Security Center. There is a desire not to have these general restrictions. “But Adalja says that while closed bars and restaurants have become easy scapegoats, domestic Halloween parties are more likely to be to blame for the recent jump.” Epidemiology shows that this is happening in private. home gatherings and I wonder if curfew would just make people even more willing to have private gatherings. ”

Like the word “lock”, which is rapidly politicized, “curfew” is a strangely vague part of public health messages. There are certainly many good reasons to close bars earlier – for example, patrons can relax with protective measures for an evening of drinking, endangering themselves and the workers around them. (Although Adalya believes that people are more likely to disguise themselves and distance themselves in bars that require it than among friends in someone’s apartment.) Elsewhere, however, efficiency is not time-based and certainly not specific. for late at night – the goal is just to keep people as far away from each other as possible – and that’s why the “stay home” order is much more direct. (Newsom did call it that in California; New York didn’t.) The phrase itself gives clear, easy-to-repeat instructions. Instead of going back to this policy that used to work, cities and countries are now introducing an entirely new term, with new sets of rules and new conditions for compliance. An elected leader who threatens to impose an “evening hour” does not carry the same urgency as an order to stay at home; in fact, the curfew almost reinforces the idea that the continuation of regular public activities is safe, as long as they take place before a certain time. Mostly, only the curfew offers people to carry out orders or have dinner earlier – when everything is more crowded.

At the moment, more and more Americans are getting sick because they are too careless about communal activities, which they should consider dangerous. Although the number of infected people wandering around is much higher, cities do not stop as tightly as in the spring. Combining a false sense of security with growing pandemic fatigue is a recipe for disaster. As the holidays approached, publications continued and published travel guides “although you shouldn’t” ((wink wink). Airlines still offer offers and discounts. There may even be queues at malls next week for Black Friday sales. Dictating going to bed in the city here is not enough. The message should not be “go out and go home at 22:00”, but “stay at home”. Home for the holidays! Separation until taking office!

Meaningless half measures, such as evening classes, also do not provide enough guidance to help Americans navigate the upcoming holidays, which are built entirely around risky private gatherings. In March, Washington Post‘s the home coronavirus simulator showed how physically distancing oneself from other people could prevent accidental encounters that would slow the spread of the disease the most. It went viral and probably saved lives. Currently, the most shared coronavirus simulator allows you to include your county and the number of people hypothetically eating Thanksgiving dinner with you, generating statistics on how likely your guests are to bring COVID to the table as if it were some kind of regional side dish. In the absence of more explicit warnings about internal gatherings, seeing these figures – 24 percent? That doesn’t sound so bad – will lead some people to conclude that moving with their own big celebrations, as always, is good. “Behave like a pandemic,” Adalya recommends. “That doesn’t mean you never leave your house, but avoid crowded and crowded places. And use common sense – a little will go a long way. “

Instead of issuing a not-really-curfew, elected leaders must make difficult choices, urge their constituents to embrace their own households for the rest of the year, and focus their energy on dismantling the Mitch Cult to the Death of McConnell, U.S. Senate , held hostage by the CSO, where Republican officials congratulate newly elected Vice President Kamala Harris, while denying the relief package to Americans that she and President-elect Joe Biden have asked them to pass. Closing bars at 10 pm would not have saved the lives of the 250,000 Americans we lost this year. Paying people to stay home while providing them with safe, sensible ways to stay connected will help us escape this merry winter – and end our suffering forever.




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