D Accepts enough evidence that Gary Johnson, the Libertarian Party presidential candidate who won 3% of the popular vote in 2016, drew more votes from President Trump than Hillary Clinton, Neira Tandon still has an ax to grind with actress Susan Sarandon for supporting Jill Stein, also the Green Party's governing party.
Despite the fact that Stein's overall share of votes would still not win Clinton in the White House, frenzied leftists continue to stifle their nightmare scenario: a serious third-party contender emerges in 2020 to give Trump a second term.
I don't know what Mooch or anyone else is. It would be nice to see Trump have a primary fight against a true conservative, but don't let anyone – left or right – sell you to a third party running against Trump in 2020. This only helps Trump. The math is clear.
– Tom Nichols (@RadioFreeTom)
August 17, 2019
Nichols is definitely wrong, but unless front-line Democrat Joe Biden's Democratic Party manages to retain his stubborn and insurmountable lead, it's hard to know how right he is.
In 2016, voters were asked to choose between a blossoming billionaire accused of sexual assault by multiple women and a corrupt career politician who defended her husband against credible sexual assault allegations by multiple women. Hillary Clinton has always been a pretty conservative Democrat, and Donald Trump has been a pretty liberal Republican since being a Democrat. Voters do not trust either of them, which leads to a largely non-ideological choice between two liars with similar politics and similar malicious personal behavior.
The upcoming race may present voters with a very different choice. If Biden cancels the nomination, the rebellion against Republicans in the 2018 suburbs could be repeated. Biden's policies are not very different from Hillary's, but on a personal level, most Americans like and trust him. Even if a certain coalition of disgruntled Republicans only marginally favors Biden over Trump, it's hard to imagine those in Ohio who run the risk of winning Trump by voting for a hypothetical third-party candidate instead of Biden himself.
So far, no convincing candidate has declared a third party offer, but the calculation is simple, no matter who is applying: The third party offer is detrimental, even though the main party is working too far. Trump's actual policies may prove far more mainstream and successful than voters imagined in 2016, but his rhetoric and reflections on Twitter have touted his presidency as eminently partisan and polarizing.
Contrast with Biden will highlight this shortcoming by Trump. Other Democratic front-runners would contrast with Trump mainly through their political extremism.
Asking a small business owner in suburban Orlando to trade new tax cuts to get back to the Obama-era policies with a decent amount of money back in the White House. Telling them to trade Trump's crashes on Twitter to eliminate private health insurance and wealth taxes or property taxes to fund a free college is another matter altogether. Trump is disgusted enough by Democrats that any nominee will receive a vote on the Left, but if the nominee is too extreme, that crucial vote will never – Trump will go instead to a third-party candidate.
Unless a candidate with an already recognized first name such as Michael Bloomberg or Michelle Obama or one with a clearly defined constituency such as Justin Amash is running for a third party application, it is unlikely that anyone will enter the race anyway. won a lot, the Ephemeral "Libertarian Moment" of 2016 turned out to be a meltdown and it is unclear who is ready to plunge into the waters until the Democratic primary is resolved. But in any case, Democrats should remember that a third-party challenger threatens their chances only if they choose the unelected.