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UAW strike puts Trump, the GOP and the political bind in key states



 General Motors assembly workers pick outside the General Motors Bowling Green plant during the United Auto Workers (UAW) national strike in Bowling Green, Kentucky, U.S., September 17, 2019. © REUTERS / Bryan Woolston
 General Motors assembly workers pick outside the General Motors Bowling Green plant during the United Auto Workers (UAW) national strike in Bowling Green, Kentucky, U.S., September 1
7, 2019.

LANSING, Mich. (AP) – Democrats were quick to back working-class United Auto Workers in their strike against General Motors, delivering doughnuts and holding picket signs outside the facts to show solidarity.

Led by President Donald Trump, GOP officials have largely avoided taking sides in the strike that threatens to upend the economy in Michigan, an election battleground, a year before the 2020 vote. Both here and nationally, most Republicans said little about the substance of the dispute beyond hope for a speedy resolution.

The muted response expresses the tricky politics of labor for Republicans.

Trump has made inroads with members of some unions, due partly to promising to get tough on trade and keep manufacturing jobs in the United States. The message pulled key voters away from their Democratic union bosses, who Trump argues are corrupt.

But a strike prompted in part over GM's plan to close American plants highlights Trump's unfulfilled promises on manufacturing and gives Democrats a chance to play up their union credentials.

Democratic presidential candidate Elizabeth Warren is scheduled to show up on the picket line in Michigan on Sunday, with rival Bernie Sanders expected this coming week. Nearly all candidates have tweeted support for workers.

"Proud to stand with @UAW to demand fair wages and benefits for their members. America's workers deserve better," Joe Biden tweeted. The union says Biden will be picking up a line at the Fairfax plant in Kansas City, Kansas, on Sunday.

Trump is in a bind.

Backing the union would undermine Trump's message that Labor does not advocate for its Workers and give a powerful Democratic force a boost before an election.

Siding with GM would call into question his promises to defend workers and he would risk getting blamed for economic woes in Rust Belt states he needs to win reelection. His assignment gets tougher the longer the strike goes on.

"There's a history of this issue being treacherous in Michigan," said Michigan State University political scientist Matt Grossmann. He noted that Republican Mitt Romney's presidential campaign was broken in 2012 when Democrats pointed repeatedly to an opinion article he wrote opposing the auto bailout. The headline: "Let Detroit Go Bankrupt."

"It's treacherous to be against the autoworkers," Grossmann said.

The president has appeared mindful of the dilemma, saying little about the strike. On Monday, the first day of the walkout, he told reporters at the White House the dispute was "now" and he made a distinction between workers and their union leaders.

"I don't want General Motors to be building buildings outside this country, "he said. "My relationship has been very powerful with auto workers – not necessarily the top person or two, but the people that work doing cars."

The strike is playing out as a federal corruption offense against top UAW officials widens. The FBI raided UAW President Gary Jones' suburban Detroit home last month and prosecutors have been charged with 11 people in the investigation, leading many of the 49,000 workers nationwide to question whether leaders have their backs.

Trump may be wise to try to

Although union members have historically supported Democrats, Trump's promises to rewrite free trade agreements have resonated with many in manufacturing areas. Nationally, union members were just slightly more likely than other voters to support Democrats in 2018, when the party gained control of the House. Six in 10 union voters supported by Democratic candidates in House races, according to AP VoteCast, with a survey of more than 115,000 midterm voters nationwide.

But Trump has a scrutiny of making good on promotions to stop companies from shipping jobs overseas. From the first announcement in 2018, he was quick to criticize GM for wanting to close the US plants, an issue at the center of current fight. He met with CEO Mary Barra at the White House on Sept. 5, days after suggesting the company should move jobs from China to the U.S. GM has not been persuaded yet.

Trump's escalation of trade war with China has hurt manufacturers, with facts in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania shedding workers since the end of 2018, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

His the administration's decision to stop California from setting its own emission standards for cars and trucks also has created uncertainty in the industry.

"If this strike goes into a second week, you're going to see parts of Michigan go into a recession, "said Patrick Anderson, CEO of the Anderson Economic Group, an East Lansing-based consulting firm whose work includes analyzing the auto industry. "Parts of Michigan are feeling it today. You're already seeing losses in income and people cutting back on their spending."

There is some expectation that Trump will intervene in an attempt to prevent that. But the White House denied a report this past week that engaged in talks with the company and the union.

Michigan-based Republican strategist John Sellek said he believes Trump is on the side of workers but is trying to "thread the needle "and not" blow up "GM's offer to save a plant or two.

" That fits his electoral victory path, and it fits his policy positions on trade, "he said. "He's walking a more careful path rhetorically for now. But if he decides on any given day that it's time to jump in with both feet, we shouldn't be surprised that he does."

GM's proposal includes creating an electric vehicle battery assembly plant in Lordstown, Ohio, where the company is in the process of closing a small-car assembly plant. In addition, GM would pay for an electric pickup truck that would go into the Detroit-Hamtramck plant, which the company also wants to close.

The Lordstown facility would offer lower wages, according to a person briefed on the matter who was not authorized to publicly discuss the matter and spoke on condition of anonymity.

GM workers who were picking up Friday outside the Grand River factory in Lansing – one that makes Cadillacs and Chevy Camaros – were mixed on whether Trump should weigh in. Many said their top priority is to give temporary workers a path to permanent jobs. Others also want commitments that vehicles would be made to the U.S.

Keith Cannon, 47, of Lansing, said Trump, whom he does not back, should engage. He interpreted Trump's remarks about the strike as being supportive of workers.

"It's important because it affects the country he's running," said Cannon, a 19-year GM worker who as a UAW district committeeman representing workers in disputes with management. "He needs to weigh in on it because we tend to affect the community. You have restaurants, stores, businesses that rely on us to support them as much as they support us with their services."

Cannon said he can't spend much locally while living on strike pay only $ 250 per week.

Democratic presidential candidates are beginning to flock to the picket lines. Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar went to Detroit on Thursday and Ohio Rep. Tim Ryan met Monday with strikers in Lordstown, where GM halted production earlier this year, laying off 1,400 employees.

___

Burnett reported from Chicago. Associated Press writers Zeke Miller and Josh Boak in Washington contributed to this report.


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